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A ‘globally catastrophic’ super El Nino could form by spring

European and US models estimate an 80% chance of a strong El Nino and a 20-25% chance of a super El Nino, which could cause widespread extreme weather globally.

An El Nino typically associated with a hot, dry spring for Australia is likely to form towards the end of winter – and one model rates the chances of a rare super El Nino at 20-25 per cent.

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Sydney Morning HeraldSydney Morning Herald
+4 Reposted by 4 other sources
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A ‘globally catastrophic’ super El Nino could form by spring

An El Nino typically associated with a hot, dry spring for Australia is likely to form towards the end of winter – and one model rates the chances of a rare super El Nino at 20-25 per cent.

·Sydney, Australia
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Sydney Morning Herald broke the news in Sydney, Australia on Wednesday, March 25, 2026.
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