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4 New Spain Election Polls Put Right Above Majority Line

Four polls put the PP and Vox near a 176-seat majority as the PSOE narrows the gap after a deadly train crash shook the campaign.

  • Spain's conservative Partido Popular leads Prime Minister Pedro Sanchez's Socialists in latest polls ahead of the November 29 general election, but requires right-wing Vox to secure a parliamentary majority.
  • The electoral campaign follows last month's deadly Toledo rail disaster, which killed 69 people and triggered the resignation of Transport Minister Oscar Puente, shaping the political climate.
  • Polling firm 40dB projects the PP will win 31.9% of the vote, with the ruling PSOE at 29.9% and Vox at 18%, reflecting a net transfer of 832,000 voters from left to right.
  • PP leader Alberto Nuñez Feijoo aims for a single-party government with Vox support, while the left-wing coalition Frente Amplio struggles with just 5% of voting intentions and around 10 seats.
  • Hard-Left parties failed to agree on a joint candidate list, leaving Podemos at risk of losing parliamentary representation with a projected 1.2% of the vote and no seats.
Insights by Ground AI

77 Articles

The online publication Politico writes that Madrid's leading role as a spokesperson for the EU's climate goals may soon end, as the conservative People's Party (PP) promises to change the country's currently ambitious climate and energy policies if it wins the November 29 elections.

·Tallinn, Estonia
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Center

The DYM barometer carried out after the resignation of Oscar Puente as Transport Minister projects between 198 and 205 seats for the forces of Feijóo and Abascal, while Sánchez would not exceed 108.

·Madrid, Spain
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Diario de CádizDiario de Cádiz
+8 Reposted by 8 other sources
Center

Prediction less than three weeks from the polls maintains an absolute majority of PP and Vox around 200 seats The PSOE holds over 100 seats

Center

The PP would stagnate compared to 2023 but those of Abascal would double seats

Center

If electoral polls are already a rather indigestible meal in the middle of a legislative term, when the elections approach their intensity becomes parodic. This Monday three newspapers opened their front pages with a poll, with very different data. El País reported a “comeback” for the PSOE and awarded it up to 123 seats in the best of scenarios, while La Razón remained between 99 and 101. It would be unthinkable if it were the other way around,…

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  • 41% of the sources lean Right
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The Rio Times broke the news on Friday, November 6, 2026.
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