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State Pensioners £12,570 HMRC Alert as 600,000 After Freeze Confirmed

Frozen income tax thresholds will push up to one million UK pensioners to pay income tax by 2030-31, generating about £100 million annually, the Office for Budget Responsibility says.

  • On Tuesday, the Office for Budget Responsibility forecast 600,000 more state pensioners will pay income tax in the next financial year, rising to one million by 2030-31.
  • Policy context: the frozen personal allowance and the triple-lock mechanism mean Chancellor Rachel Reeves extended a freeze in her November 2025 Budget, with the full new state pension projected to exceed the personal allowance by 2027-28.
  • HM Revenue & Customs updated its modelling, which fed into the OBR's revised estimates, indicating pensioners paying income tax will yield around £100m in 2030-31.
  • The government has pledged to exempt people whose only income is the state pension but has not set out details, while a parliamentary petition with 100,000 signatures guarantees a Commons debate and the Liberal Democrats demand immediate protections.
  • Poorer pensioners face immediate impacts from the next financial year, as some pensioners with additional income streams will already be liable, squeezing take-home incomes and pressuring the Treasury.
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headlinemoney.co.uk broke the news in on Monday, March 2, 2026.
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