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NASA Satellites Track Record-Warm El Niño As Pacific Sea Levels Rise

NOAA says there is an 83% chance the strongest El Niño since 1950 is unfolding as satellites map warming seas and shifting winds.

  • On Monday, October 12, 2026, the Copernicus Climate Change Service reported sea surface temperatures in the Pacific's Niño3.4 region reached an "all-time high" of 29.70°C in September, "underscoring the exceptional intensity of the current El Niño."
  • Occurring every two to seven years, the El Niño-Southern Oscillation is a natural warming cycle of the tropical Pacific, but interaction with man-made global warming complicates how scientists compare its current intensity to past events.
  • Japan's weather agency declared on Friday that El Niño conditions had reached their "strongest intensity on record," while Copernicus stated it "cannot yet say that the current El Niño is the strongest ever recorded."
  • Global weather patterns are shifting with increased risks of drought and floods, while International Monetary Fund chief Kristalina Georgieva warned she is "very concerned" about impacts on food security in vulnerable regions.
  • Copernicus director Carlo Buontempo stated the phenomenon is "likely to last into 2027," with a new run of months exceeding 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels, raising risks of record-breaking global temperatures in the coming year.
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CTV News broke the news in Toronto, Canada on Friday, October 9, 2026.
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