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10-year Treasury yield rises to highest since 2007 as Fed rate-hike expectations rise

Traders raised odds of a rate hike to 90% as oil prices jumped above $109 a barrel and bond selloffs pushed borrowing costs higher.

  • On Wednesday, the Federal Reserve raised its benchmark interest rate to a range of 3.75% to 4%, marking the first increase in three years to combat persistent inflation.
  • Persistent inflation climbed 3.4% annually in August, while an energy shock from the war in Iran exacerbated cost pressures, forcing the Fed's intervention.
  • Financial markets largely anticipated the move, with the CME FedWatch tool showing a 92% probability of a rate increase; the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.02%, its highest level in 19 years.
  • This decision places the Fed at odds with the White House, as President Donald Trump repeatedly urged officials to lower rates to boost economic growth.
  • Analysts debate whether this increase is a one-time measure or the start of a tightening cycle, while higher borrowing costs may persist as the Fed pursues its 2 percent inflation goal.
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Lean Right

The US Federal Reserve announces its key interest rate decision in the evening. "The Fed is likely to deliver today and raise the key interest rate by 25 basis points," says economist Johannes Mayr in conversation with Dietmar Deffner.

·Berlin, Germany
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Center

The Fed is heading for the first rate hike since 2023. But the dollar hardly benefits. Enormous US debt and the conflict between Trump and Fed burden trust in the world's leading currency. By Angela Göpfert.

·Hamburg, Germany
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Just the News broke the news in Washington, United States on Monday, September 14, 2026.
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