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Iran War to Push Global Energy Prices to Four-Year High, World Bank Says

The World Bank says the conflict will lift energy costs 24% this year and could push Brent to $115 if damage to facilities worsens.

  • On Tuesday, The World Bank released its Commodity Markets Outlook, forecasting global energy prices will rise 24 per cent this year to a four-year high, deepening inflation and slowing growth worldwide.
  • The Iran war has created the largest supply shock on record, reducing global oil supplies by 10 million barrels per day while the Strait of Hormuz remains under blockade.
  • Fertilizer costs are intensifying pressure on poorer economies, with prices expected to jump by almost a third driven by a 60 per cent surge in urea rates; the World Food Programme estimates 45 million more people face acute food insecurity.
  • Developing economies face stalled growth now projected at just 3.6 per cent in 2026, even as the UAE announced on Tuesday its withdrawal from Opec after more than five decades.
  • Chief economist Indermit Gill warned governments against broad fiscal measures, urging instead "temporary support targeted to the most vulnerable households" to mitigate the historic energy supply crisis.
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Commodity prices could rise further if hostilities in the region escalate and supply disruptions last longer than expected.

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  • 62% of the sources lean Right
62% Right

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El Cronista broke the news in Argentina on Tuesday, April 28, 2026.
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