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Will the Federal Reserve Raise Interest Rates? Here Is What Experts Predict for July's Meeting.

Economists still expect the central bank to hold its benchmark rate steady, while CME FedWatch puts a 38% chance of a hike next week.

Summary by CBS News
The central bank is widely expected to stand pat on Wednesday, but persistent inflation concerns are reshaping expectations for the rest of 2026.

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According to ChainCatcher, citing Jinshi, CME's "FedWatch" shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in July is 85.6%, and the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike is 14.4%. By September, the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged is 38.5%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike is 53.5%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate hike is 7.9%.

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BizToc broke the news on Saturday, July 18, 2026.
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