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Why One Analyst Thinks LLY Is Worth $850 While the Rest of Wall Street Targets $1,216

Investor concerns rise over FDA review of Lilly's oral obesity pill and competitive pressure from Novo Nordisk amid a 5% stock drop and analyst downgrades.

Summary
Quick Read Eli Lilly (LLY) faces a downgrade to Reduce from HSBC analyst Rajesh Kumar, who cut his price target from $1,070 to $850, citing overestimated obesity drug market size ($80B-$120B by 2032 versus current expectations of $150B+) and accelerating price competition, with Mounjaro and Zepbound generating 60% of Q4 2025 revenue ($11.67B of $19.29B total). HSBC believes GLP-1 pricing pressure will intensify as volume carries revenue growth…

4 Articles

Major bank: Novo rival's optimistic outlook is not worth the moneyFor once, it's Eli Lilly that gets a downgrade thrown at the head of a major bank. British HSBC, the world's seventh largest

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CNBC broke the news in United States on Tuesday, March 17, 2026.
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