US EditionUFC Fight Night odds, main fight card, predictions: Moreno vs. Kavanagh picks from 10,000 simulations
Late replacement Lone’er Kavanagh won all judges’ rounds against two-time champion Brandon Moreno, overcoming underdog odds and a recent knockout loss.
- On February 28 at Arena CDMX in Mexico City, Lone'er Kavanagh defeated Brandon Moreno by unanimous decision in the five‑round main event.
- After Asu Almabayev withdrew due to injury, Kavanagh, originally scheduled for March 14, 2026, in Las Vegas, stepped in to fight Moreno on the UFC Mexico main card.
- McClure's UFC model ran 10,000 simulations for every fight and was backtested against more than 500 fights from 2023-25, showing over 18 units of profit and a 6.1% ROI, with odds via DraftKings and promo for $200 bonus bets.
- Kavanagh improved to 3-1 in the UFC after bloodied and hobbling Brandon Moreno, saying, `These are the moments I live for, legendary moments.`
- Paramount+ streamed the event and provided exclusive coverage, while McClure's model, boosted by UFC 324 success, fueled demand for picks on the six-fight main card featuring Mexican athletes.
41 Articles
41 Articles
Fighter Brandon Moreno suffered a new defeat and now has an uncertain future within the UFC
Englishman Lone'er Kavanagh (10-1) was charged this evening with silencing thousands of Mexican fans in the Mexico City Arena. He was the executioner of Mexican Brandon Moreno (23-10) on UFC’s return to the country, as he won him by unanimous decision. The 26-year-old’s beating volume was lethal to the Tijuanense, who ended up down after five rounds in the Mexico City Arena. The three judges saw the Londoner win by 49-46, 48-47 and 48-47. “Thank…
How did Lone'er Kavanagh upset Brandon Moreno? #sports
British contender turns the tables in Mexico City In a result that reshaped the flyweight picture overnight, Lone’er Kavanagh produced a signature win over former two‑time champion Brandon Moreno in the UFC’s Mexico City main event. The English contender, who arrived with just a few weeks ...
Rockdale Citizen & Newton Citizen
Marietta Daily JournalLone’er Kavanagh spoils Brandon Moreno’s homecoming in Mexico City
Lone'er Kavanagh left former two-time UFC flyweight champion Brandon Moreno bloodied and bruised for an upset victory in the main event of UFC Fight Night on Saturday in Mexico City.
Coverage Details
Bias Distribution
- 55% of the sources are Center
Factuality
To view factuality data please Upgrade to Premium
