IMF raises 2026 global growth forecast to 3.1%, as AI boom offsets Middle East conflict
AI-driven investment helped lift the outlook, but the IMF warned that energy shocks are squeezing poorer countries and splitting the world economy.
- On Tuesday, the International Monetary Fund raised its 2026 global economic growth forecast by 0.1 percentage point to 3.1%, citing "resilience" in the face of persistent high energy costs and other shocks.
- Twin economic forces of the war in Iran and the AI technology boom have created a "fragmented" world economy, reallocating growth based on exposure to war-induced shocks and AI-related demand.
- During an event Monday, IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva called AI's employment impact "a slow moving tsunami," estimating around 40% of global jobs face potential augmentation, downgrading, or elimination.
- Global inflation is set to accelerate to 4.7% in 2026, creating a "bifurcated outlook" where energy-importing countries without AI exposure remain most vulnerable to financial instability.
- Mounting debt poses a growing risk to global financial stability, IMF Chief Economist Tenreyro warned, urging countries to focus on "rebuilding supply-side resilience" and maintaining price stability.
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80 Articles
Today, Tuesday, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) slightly raised its 2026 World Economic Growth Prospects by 0.1 percentage points to 3.1%, warning that the negative risks to growth are rising.
The International Monetary Fund has arrived in Bangkok with the good news that it predicts that the world economy will grow 3.1% this year and 3.4% next year and that inflation should fall six tenths in 2027. The World Economic Outlook presented this Tuesday says that resilience continues to sustain the global economy, but the risks of squandering continue
Bangkok/Washington, 13 Oct (EFE).- The world economy will grow by 3.1% in 2026 (one tenth more than previously anticipated) and advance by 3.4% in 2027, with the war in Iran and the rise in oil and raw materials prices undermining economic progress and investment in artificial intelligence [...] Entry The IMF improves its world growth forecast by one tenth by 2026, to 3.1 % was first published in HolaNews.
Global economic growth will slow to 3.1 percent this year from 3.5 percent last year, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) said in its autumn economic outlook on Tuesday. However, it slightly improved its estimate for this year's growth from the three percent forecast in its spring outlook update in July. The IMF still expects global gross domestic product (GDP) growth to accelerate to 3.4 percent next year.
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