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What will the carbon price cost the oilsands? A Timbit per barrel, one analysis says

The carbon price increase to $130 per tonne could raise costs for Alberta oilsands producers by about 50 cents per barrel, with facility costs ranging from credits to nearly $4 per barrel.

  • On March 12, 2026, the Canadian Climate Institute's analysis shows Alberta oilsands producers would pay about 50 cents per barrel if the minimum carbon price rises to $130 per tonne.
  • The November memorandum of understanding between Alberta and Ottawa requires the two sides to reach a carbon‑pricing deal, with the deadline shaping debate.
  • At individual sites, outcomes range from nearly $4 per barrel at Strathcona's Tucker Thermal to about $2.23 per barrel in credits at Canadian Natural Resources' Peace River, based on the institute's calculator.
  • Alberta's finances are sensitive to oil prices, as Oilsands production accounts for about 13 per cent of Canada's emissions, and Dale Beugin says the MOU aims to 'stop some of the whiplash' to support long-term investment certainty.
  • Beyond Alberta, critics warn market distortions and low trading prices in the Alberta carbon credit market raise questions about a national carbon pricing regime, says energy economist Andrew Leach.
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The Toronto StarThe Toronto Star
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What will the carbon price cost the oilsands? A Timbit per barrel, one analysis says

The industrial carbon price will cost Alberta's oilsands producers on average the equivalent of about a Timbit per barrel of oil, according to a climate think tank's new analysis intended

·Toronto, Canada
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play1037.ca broke the news in on Thursday, March 12, 2026.
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