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State revenue projected to drop in current fiscal year

Missouri expects a 2.1% revenue decline in FY2026 mainly due to capital gains tax cuts, with general revenue projected at $13.15 billion, followed by modest growth in FY2027.

  • Wednesday's revised estimate shows Missouri general revenue contracting 2.1% in fiscal year 2026 to $13.15 billion, with officials warning this will pose budget challenges.
  • Lawmakers' recent tax changes, including the capital gains exemption, and the winding down of federal COVID-19 relief funding are driving Missouri's projected revenue decline.
  • FY2027 is expected to rebound modestly, with projected collections of $13.15 billion, though the consensus revenue estimate remains $400 million below last year's forecast.
  • The current budget after Kehoe's vetoes projects $15.7 billion in spending, about $2.6 billion more than revised revenue estimates, while the Office of Administration’s Division of Budget and Planning warns of a $1 billion shortfall starting in FY2027.
  • Despite a prior surplus that peaked near $8 billion in June 2023, Gov. Mike Kehoe has said eliminating the state income tax, which accounts for about 65% of general revenue, is a top goal amid a top tax-rate path toward 4.5%.
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13 Articles

Springfield News-LeaderSpringfield News-Leader
+7 Reposted by 7 other sources
Center

Missouri faces budget crunch as tax cut hits harder than estimate

The state now expects a revenue loss in the current fiscal year of about $500 million, three times more than what was claimed when the tax cut passed.

·Springfield, United States
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phelpscountyfocus.comphelpscountyfocus.com
+2 Reposted by 2 other sources
Center

Missouri general revenue projection indicates growth in FY 2027 despite tax cuts

Missouri general revenue is projected to rise in fiscal year 2027, following two years of lower than expected revenue.

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KMIZ broke the news in on Wednesday, December 17, 2025.
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