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Shares Slip in Asia as Oil Climbs, Rate Hikes Loom
Oil climbed after new Middle East supply fears, while traders priced in higher U.S. and Japanese rates, with markets seeing an 86% chance of a Fed hike.
On Wednesday, September 16, 2026, the Federal Reserve raised interest rates by 25 basis points for the first time since mid-2023, with Chair Kevin Warsh joining a unanimous decision to address persistent inflation above the 2% target.
Escalating Middle East tensions and attacks on energy infrastructure drove Brent crude prices above $100 a barrel, while the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield breached 5% for the first time since 2007, compounding inflation concerns.
Industry leaders including Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei, Elon Musk, and Sam Altman called for slower AI development over safety concerns, fueling volatility in AI-linked tech shares as investors weighed infrastructure spending against development risks.
Major U.S. stock indices remained subdued early in the week amid elevated yields and energy costs; however, U.S. Census Bureau data showed retail sales surged to $773.9 billion in August, rising 1.2% from July.
JPMorgan economists project two additional rate hikes in 2026, yet uncertainty persists over whether these actions represent limited recalibration or the start of sustained tightening, with incoming data to determine the longer-term policy path.
European and Japanese equities rose today Thursday, supported by falling oil prices and a stoppage in the sale of bonds, while investors await central bank decisions on interest rates.