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Saudi Oil Exports to China Set to Halve as War Upends Supply and Prices

Aramco raised Asia prices to a record premium, and Yanbu cannot absorb all barrels diverted from the Persian Gulf, traders said.

  • On Monday, traders reported Saudi Arabia will halve May crude shipments to China to around 20 million barrels, down from roughly 40 million barrels allocated in April.
  • President Donald Trump announced a U.S. naval blockade on Sunday, while the near-closure of the Strait of Hormuz has forced tankers in the Persian Gulf to seek alternative routes.
  • Saudi Aramco hiked Arab Light prices to record premiums last week, while the Kingdom's Red Sea port of Yanbu has insufficient capacity—around 5 million barrels daily—to replace lost Gulf volumes.
  • Asian refiners face limited access to Arab Light, now offered exclusively via the Red Sea, while benchmark prices for Dubai and Oman crude have become erratic due to severe supply shortages.
  • Diplomatic talks in Pakistan failed over the weekend with no agreement, and the Middle East war shows no signs of easing. Gulf exporters must navigate significant logistical challenges as supplies remain constrained indefinitely.
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Financial Post broke the news in Canada on Monday, April 13, 2026.
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