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Saudi Arabia Faces Economic Contraction as War Woes Mount

The fund said heavily indebted oil importers should target subsidies and rebuild fiscal buffers as energy prices rise and debt distress deepens.

  • On Tuesday, the International Monetary Fund warned that low-income developing countries face an energy shock from the Iran war and have "no choice" but to cut spending or face debt restructuring.
  • The ongoing US-Iran conflict has sent energy prices soaring as Tehran's retaliatory action targeted Washington's Gulf allies, curtailing oil supplies and bleeding into fertiliser and other sectors.
  • Oil-Importing nations lacking exposure to the artificial intelligence boom are most vulnerable, Koeva Brooks noted, as consumption baskets heavily weighted toward energy and food make adjustments "much much more difficult."
  • Conversely, the IMF raised its 2026 global growth forecast to 2.1 per cent, with advanced economies in AI supply chains like Taiwan and South Korea posting significantly higher figures.
  • Intense El Nino activity in the Pacific raises climate risks that have already pushed up prices for rice and beverages, compounding pressure on vulnerable regions already strained by energy and debt crises.
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The Monetary Fund cautions against the continuation of the war and the disruption of energy and shipping. The economies of the Middle East, North Africa and Pakistan are expected to contract 1.3 per cent in 2026, growing 6.6 per cent in 2027, with the erosion of stocks and increasing risks of higher prices.

(Cairo=Yonhap News) Correspondent Kim Sang-hoon = In the aftermath of the Middle East war that began in Iran and spread to Saudi Arabia and Yemen, the region produced oil...

·Seoul, Korea (the Republic of)
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The National broke the news in Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates (the) on Tuesday, October 13, 2026.
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