RAND Scenario: Putin Dies in 3 Months, Russia Attacks NATO by 2030 in Hypothetical War Plan
RAND says Putin’s death could trigger a Kremlin power shift, a hybrid campaign and a wider NATO-Russia war after troops enter Narva.
- The RAND Corporation's hypothetical scenario predicts the death of 74-year-old Vladimir Putin in January 2027, potentially triggering a power vacuum and succession crisis within the Kremlin.
- Following Putin's death, a 'former FSB general' assumes power but falls under the influence of pro-war 'hawks,' eventually launching a hybrid campaign against European NATO members.
- Moscow leverages the Russian-speaking population in Estonia to incite riots in Narva; the Kremlin then invades under the guise of protection, forcing NATO to invoke its Charter.
- Full-Scale combat operations between Russian forces and the alliance continue until October 2030, though peace talks remain at an impasse as the conflict destabilizes Europe.
- Analysts emphasize this is a 'hypothetical scenario' and not a prediction, warning that such a 'frozen' conflict would undermine NATO's authority and threaten European security.
13 Articles
13 Articles
Russia, regardless of whether Vladimir Putin will be in power by 2030, will start a war with Europe, as described in the report presented by the American think tank RAND*.
️️ Rand Europe's 2030 War Scenario for Russia and NATO - It begins with Putin's death and ends with the invasion of Estonia
The Rand Europe think tank has published a report with a possible scenario for a war between Russia and NATO in 2030.According to the model, Vladimir Putin dies in January 2027, and after a power struggle, a former FSB general becomes president of the...
RAND study examines what could happen after Russian president leaves power – A former FSB general takes over the Kremlin, invades Estonia and provokes a generalised conflict with NATO
The United Kingdom and other NATO countries in Europe are not currently prepared for a major war with Russia, according to an analysis by the US think tank RAND. The analysis of the UK's readiness uses a hypothetical scenario in which Russia attacks Estonia.
A hypothetical scenario for 2030 describes an American think tank on how Moscow could be led to a generalized military confrontation with NATO, if Vladimir Putin were to die. A scenario for a possible war between Russia and NATO, starting with the death of Putin and the assumption of power by a former FSB general, is examined by the American think tank RAND in its new report entitled Ready for War 2030: A Scenario – Bolstering the UK and NATO's …
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