NOAA Confirms El Niño Is Strengthening: There's an 81% Chance It Will Reach Exceptional Intensity
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US Climate Forecasting Center (CPC) points to 81% chance of the phenomenon reaching the "very strong" classification between October and December
Forecasts indicate that from October to December 2026, the El Nino phenomenon is likely to reach very strong intensity with a probability of up to 81%.
NOAA confirms El Niño is strengthening: There's an 81% chance it will reach exceptional intensity
NOAA's July update from the Climate Prediction Center confirms that El Niño continues to strengthen across the equatorial Pacific. Forecast models indicate the event will intensify through 2026 and could rank among the strongest since 1950. Sea surface temperature anomalies show widespread warming across the equatorial Pacific, with the highest values near the coast of South America. The warm signal extends from the central to the eastern Pacifi…
According to CPC, the phenomenon will intensify towards the end of the year, with a probability of 97 per cent spreading until March
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