Inflation Likely Peaked for 2026 but Will Remain Sticky, According to Prediction Markets

Inflation likely peaked for 2026 but will remain sticky, according to prediction markets

Traders think there's little chance core inflation, which excludes food and energy prices, will fall to 2.2% this year.

Kalshi traders bet inflation has peaked for 2026 but will stay sticky

Kalshi traders price a 3.6% median CPI for December 2026, betting inflation has peaked but will stay well above the Fed's 2% target.

Prediction Markets See U.S. Inflation Peaking in 2026

September CPI is expected to rise 3.6% year over year, while core inflation is forecast at 2.4%.