Polls show tight Texas Senate race, but prediction markets tell a different story

Polymarket Saw Paxton’s Texas Defeat Coming

Polymarket traders favored a Texas defeat for Attorney General Ken Paxton (R) before polls closed Tuesday, correctly anticipating his U.S. Senate loss after backing his Republican runoff victory earlier this year. An Election Day snapshot put state Rep. James Talarico (D-Austin) at 74% on Polymarket, roughly a three-in-four chance of winning, according to Action Network’s […]

Polls show tight Texas Senate race, but prediction markets tell a different story

Polls show a tight Texas U.S. Senate race between James Talarico and Ken Paxton, but prediction markets suggest a different outcome.