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Middle East on the Brink of War: Why US-Iran Talks May Be the Last Chance for Peace

The talks aim to test diplomatic options after 15 years of sanctions and proxy conflicts, with both sides seeking mutual recognition and de-escalation, analysts said.

  • On February 6, 2026, US and Iranian delegations met in Muscat, Oman, with Abbas Araghchi attending, to clarify positions and test diplomatic pathways, mediated by Oman's foreign minister Badr Albusaidi.
  • Years of sanctions and proxy conflict pushed both sides back to negotiations as 15 years of coercion failed to force decisive outcomes, while sanctions devastated Iran's economy and weakened its regional network.
  • US officials outlined sweeping demands beyond nuclear restraints, pressing for ballistic missile and governance talks, while Iran emphasised engagement mainly on the nuclear issue, citing Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's decree; sequencing nuclear limits first then verification offers the likeliest diplomatic path.
  • Markets reacted as oil prices fell and traders covered shorts, with Brent crude down 1.1% to $67.13 and WTI down 1% to $62.26, while Washington's warning to US citizens fuelled public anxiety.
  • Diplomacy offers a fragile chance to avoid a new Middle Eastern quagmire, as a conflict with the Islamic Republic would be longer and more destructive; negotiation sequencing may be the only viable strategy.
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Middle East on the brink of war: Why US-Iran talks may be the last chance for peace

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The Sunday Guardian Live broke the news in on Monday, February 9, 2026.
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