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Nvidia chip shift to smartphone-style memory to double server-memory prices by end-2026 - Counterpoint

Counterpoint Research forecasts server-memory prices could double by 2026 due to Nvidia's shift to low-power DRAM and supply constraints from major manufacturers.

  • Counterpoint Research warned on Wednesday from Beijing that Nvidia's use of smartphone-style memory in AI servers could double server-memory prices by late 2026 as Nvidia prepares earnings.
  • Nvidia recently decided to switch some AI servers from DDR5 to LPDDR, while suppliers reallocating capacity to HBM and advanced DRAM have tightened LPDDR4 supply and distorted the market.
  • Counterpoint Research forecasts memory prices rising 30 percent by the end of 2025 and possibly another 20 percent in the first half of 2026, while Samsung Electronics has raised prices about 60 percent since September.
  • DRAM and NAND currently make up 10-18 percent of a laptop bill of materials and are likely to surpass 20 percent in 2026 as DDR5 64 GB RDIMM prices may rise early next year through 2026.
  • Counterpoint warned that chipmakers diverting fab capacity to LPDDR could spread tightness upward, as each AI server needs more memory chips than a handset, intensifying supplier strain, especially for Nvidia.
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NDTV Gadgets 360 broke the news in on Wednesday, November 19, 2025.
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