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Forecast El Nino Has Arrived; What It Means for the Maritime Provinces
NOAA said there is a 63% chance the El Niño will rank among the largest on record as it strengthens into late fall.
The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration confirmed on Thursday that El Niño has formed in the Pacific Ocean, with experts forecasting a 63% chance it will reach historic intensity by late fall and early winter.
This natural warming cycle amplifies a globe already heated by fossil fuel pollution, bringing extra warmth to the surface and fueling extreme weather events globally, especially across the Pacific.
Michael Ferrari of Moby said grain conditions look favorable in 18 major growing states, though cattle prospects are mixed, while Marshall Burke of Stanford noted above-normal temperatures typically dampen American economic growth.
United Nations Secretary-General António Guterres called the event an "urgent climate warning," as drought-stricken parts of the Middle East may benefit while India and Australia face intensifying heat waves and wildfires.
Experts forecast 2027 will likely be the hottest year on record due to lagging effects of this Niño, which projections suggest will rival or exceed the record-breaking event that began in 1997.
Drought, flooding and heat extremes: Scientists warn that the El Niño phenomenon could be particularly severe this time. What consequences can be expected and how can we prepare for it?