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Forecast El Nino Has Arrived; What It Means for the Maritime Provinces

NOAA said there is a 63% chance the El Niño will rank among the largest on record as it strengthens into late fall.

  • The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration confirmed on Thursday that El Niño has formed in the Pacific Ocean, with experts forecasting a 63% chance it will reach historic intensity by late fall and early winter.
  • This natural warming cycle amplifies a globe already heated by fossil fuel pollution, bringing extra warmth to the surface and fueling extreme weather events globally, especially across the Pacific.
  • Michael Ferrari of Moby said grain conditions look favorable in 18 major growing states, though cattle prospects are mixed, while Marshall Burke of Stanford noted above-normal temperatures typically dampen American economic growth.
  • United Nations Secretary-General António Guterres called the event an "urgent climate warning," as drought-stricken parts of the Middle East may benefit while India and Australia face intensifying heat waves and wildfires.
  • Experts forecast 2027 will likely be the hottest year on record due to lagging effects of this Niño, which projections suggest will rival or exceed the record-breaking event that began in 1997.
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Bias Distribution

  • 45% of the sources lean Right
45% Right

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Jamaica Gleaner broke the news in Jamaica on Friday, June 12, 2026.
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