Newsletter: Murder Appears to be Plunging Again in 2026

Historic Drop: U.S. Murder Rate At 125-Year Low

The White House recently pointed to a sharp nationwide decline in murders, stating that restoring law and order has produced measurable gains in public safety under President Donald Trump. Preliminary data show homicides fell dramatically in 2025, continuing a multi-year drop and positioning the U.S. for what analysts call the lowest murder rate on record in modern law enforcement or public health data going back to 1900, per the Council on Crim…

Violent Crime In The US Is At Record Lows, But The DOJ Is Eliminating The Funding That Helped Reduce Crime

This article is republished from The Conversation under a Creative Commons license. Read the original article. The United States is experiencing one of the steepest declines in violent crime in modern history, including a murder rate at its lowest point in more than a century. Homicides across 35 major American cities fell 21% in 2025, amounting to 922 fewer people killed. Robberies…

The amazing — somewhat mysterious — crime drop

Jeff Asher thinks that 2026 is on track to have America’s lowest homicide rate on record after multiple years of striking declines spanning the Biden and Trump administrations. That’s an amazing and under-remarked trend, especially given how much attention was paid to the sharp rise in crime that happened in 2020 and 2021. But what does it mean?I think it is broadly clear that the spike was a reaction to the George Floyd protests and that the su…

Report: America On Track for Lowest Murder Rate Ever

Murder in America has been plummeting for years and is now on pace to reach an all-time low, according to a leading crime data analyst. On Monday, AH Datalytics Founder Jeff Asher reported the murder rate appears to again be in significant decline through the first half of 2026. He noted that his company’s real-time crime data tracker has identified a drop in murders across the nation’s largest… Source

FBI Data Projects US Murder Rate to Reach Record Low by 2026

Nationally recognized crime analyst Jess Asher, co-founder of AH Datalytics, projects that the U.S. murder rate could reach a record low in 2026, according to FBI data trends. Asher anticipates a 10 percent reduction in murders, although recent data from 30 major cities indicates a slower rate of decline compared to previous years.