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Mortgage Rates Move Lower as Economic Outlook Worsens

The decline reflects weakening economic and inflation expectations, with rates still above 6% and more than 60 basis points below a year ago.

  • The average rate on a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage fell to 6.25% APR in the week ending April 9, according to data provided to NerdWallet by Zillow.
  • While mortgage rates are easing, the decline reflects a weakening economic outlook rather than optimism, as markets react to inflation risks and throttled shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.
  • The Federal Reserve targets 2% inflation, yet core PCE hit 3% in February; additionally, Fed governors shifted inflation predictions for 2026 higher.
  • Lisa Sturtevant, chief economist for Bright MLS, noted a "historic rise in inventory which should be a catalyst for sales," though buyers require more policy stability.
  • Jeff DerGurahian, chief investment officer at LoanDepot, said markets now view the Middle East conflict and higher oil prices as a longer-term growth story, reshaping economic expectations.
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Mortgage Rates Move Lower as Economic Outlook Worsens

Mortgage interest rates improved slightly this week, though that's not much comfort given the state of the world. In truth, it's actually a sign of how negative the economic outlook's becoming.The average rate on a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage fell to…

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Weekly Real Estate News broke the news in on Thursday, April 9, 2026.
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