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War Disrupts Fertiliser Supplies, Puts Food Security at Risk

The Strait of Hormuz closure has halted over one-third of global fertilizer trade, causing U.S. urea prices to surge 30% and threatening spring planting worldwide.

  • This past week Iran's effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz has disrupted global fertiliser supply chains, halting commercial traffic that moves more than one-third of traded fertiliser.
  • A US/Israeli attack on Iran prompted retaliatory strikes that forced shutdowns at Gulf fertiliser production facilities, notably affecting Qatar, while repairs could delay recovery post-conflict.
  • Market prices spiked as U.S. urea import prices jumped 30% between Feb. 27 and March 6, Egyptian urea rose from US$500 to more than US$650 per tonne, and CF Industries shares surged nearly 10%.
  • Higher farm input costs mean Roth estimates the disruption could raise 'food-at-home' inflation by roughly 2 percentage points and add about 0.15 percentage points to U.S. headline inflation, as inflation was already up 64% in February.
  • The Gulf region produces nearly half of the world's sulphur and about a third of urea, and Asia's dependence means a third of global crop inputs could decline without nitrogen, phosphorus, and potassium, INREA models show.
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War disrupts fertiliser supplies, puts food security at risk

With production in the Gulf countries at a standstill and gas prices rising, the war in the Middle East is disrupting the supply of fertilisers and posing risks for food security.

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Caixin Global broke the news in on Wednesday, March 11, 2026.
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