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Focus Raises Selic's Projection in 2026, Points BC

Summary by Radio Guaíba
The projection of market analysts presented in the Focus Report of the Central Bank, released on Monday, 09, brings adjustments to the expectations for the interest rate. By 2026, the estimate rose from 13.50% to 13.75%. By 2027, the estimate remained at 12.50%, while the expectations for inflation measured by the IPCA remained at 5.22%. To... Read more » The post Focus raises Selic's projection in 2026, points BC first appeared in Radio Guaíba.

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The market is beginning to see a smaller space for further reductions in the Selic rate. In the midst of the worsening outlook for inflation, some large financial institutions, such as Itaú, BTG Pactual and XP Investments, are already planning to maintain the basic rate at 13.75% per year throughout 2027. Future interest contracts have become the setting for a high of 0.25 percentage point in Selic until the January Copom (Monetary Policy Commit…

·Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
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Central Bank's Bulletin Focus: market raises interest forecast to 13.75% and reduces growth estimate

The economists heard by the Central Bank, again adjusted their expectations for the Brazilian economy in the Focus Report, on Monday (9). The market went on to see no more cuts in Selic in 2026. By 2026, the median projection for the HICP remains 5.22%, above the 5% mark. The main news was [...]

The projection of market analysts presented in the Focus Report of the Central Bank, released on Monday, 09, brings adjustments to the expectations for the interest rate. By 2026, the estimate rose from 13.50% to 13.75%. By 2027, the estimate remained at 12.50%, while the expectations for inflation measured by the IPCA remained at 5.22%. To... Read more » The post Focus raises Selic's projection in 2026, points BC first appeared in Radio Guaíba.

Market also revises inflation and dollar estimates, while reducing GDP growth expectations for 2026 and 2027

In addition to keeping interest at 13.75%, analysts raised inflation estimate to 2027 to 4.90%

·São Paulo, Brazil
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Globo broke the news in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil on Monday, November 9, 2026.
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