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Lula Trails Right-Wing Bolsonaro Heir as Brazil Heads to Election Runoff

Bolsonaro’s Liberal Party also won major gains in Congress, strengthening the right as Lula heads into a runoff.

  • With the Brazilian presidential election heading to a runoff, President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva trails right-wing senator Flávio Bolsonaro 47% to 45%, losing by only 2% in Sunday's first round.
  • Brazilian media outlets, including Globo, have aggressively scrutinized Lula, linking his Workers' Party to the nearly $8 billion collapse of Banco Master last November amid allegations of massive fraud.
  • Leaked messages revealed Flávio Bolsonaro allegedly asked Banco Master CEO Daniel Vorcaro for more than $26 million to fund a biopic about his father, while Eduardo Bolsonaro coordinated with Ambassador Richard Grenell.
  • Supreme Court Justice Alexandre de Moraes accused Justice André Mendonca of leaking information to shield Bolsonaro allies, ordering the Federal Police to investigate Mendonca for allegedly manipulating evidence.
  • Three weeks remain before the runoff, where Lula must consolidate 8% of third-party votes and win over 29 million voters who abstained in the first round to overcome Bolsonaro.
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Datafolha’s first poll of October 25 shows Flávio Bolsonaro with a four percentage point advantage over the Brazilian president, a difference greater than the 1.87 of the first round. Experts tell La Tercera about the options that the PT leader has to turn these results.

·Las Condes, Chile
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  • 46% of the sources lean Right
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Folha de S.Paulo broke the news in São Paulo, Brazil on Monday, October 5, 2026.
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