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Lula Trails Right-Wing Bolsonaro Heir as Brazil Heads to Election Runoff

The result gives Bolsonaro’s party the biggest bloc in Congress and leaves Lula facing a tougher runoff after a surprise first-round lead.

  • With the Brazilian presidential election heading to a runoff, President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva trails right-wing senator Flávio Bolsonaro 47% to 45%, losing by only 2% in Sunday's first round.
  • Brazilian media outlets, including Globo, have aggressively scrutinized Lula, linking his Workers' Party to the nearly $8 billion collapse of Banco Master last November amid allegations of massive fraud.
  • Leaked messages revealed Flávio Bolsonaro allegedly asked Banco Master CEO Daniel Vorcaro for more than $26 million to fund a biopic about his father, while Eduardo Bolsonaro coordinated with Ambassador Richard Grenell.
  • Supreme Court Justice Alexandre de Moraes accused Justice André Mendonca of leaking information to shield Bolsonaro allies, ordering the Federal Police to investigate Mendonca for allegedly manipulating evidence.
  • Three weeks remain before the runoff, where Lula must consolidate 8% of third-party votes and win over 29 million voters who abstained in the first round to overcome Bolsonaro.
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Lean Right

Datafolha’s first poll of October 25 shows Flávio Bolsonaro with a four percentage point advantage over the Brazilian president, a difference greater than the 1.87 of the first round. Experts tell La Tercera about the options that the PT leader has to turn these results.

·Las Condes, Chile
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Lean Right

A poll by the Datafolha institute released on the eve even gives Senator 52% of the valid votes against 48% of the leftist president, with a margin of error of two percentage points. Bolsonaro and Lula reorganize their strategies for the final straight: while the rightist concentrates on weaving alliances, Lula bets on strengthening his presence in social networks, where the right has an advantage.Read also...Flávio Bolsonaro promises to reform …

·Concepción, Chile
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Center

The Brazilian pollster Datafolha released a measurement on the intention of voting for the second round of the elections in Brazil, in which the right-wing candidate Flávio Bolsonaro stands at the head with about 49%, compared to 45% of the candidate and left-wing president, Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva. However, the consultant herself points out that there is a margin of error of 2%, so a scenario of technical tie is maintained. Meanwhile, both Bo…

·Issy-les-Moulineaux, France
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El DiarioEl Diario
+2 Reposted by 2 other sources
Center

The millions of Brazilians who came to the polls on Sunday have given the far right their most decisive victory since the end of the country’s military dictatorship in 1985.

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Bias Distribution

  • 47% of the sources lean Right
47% Right

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Folha de S.Paulo broke the news in São Paulo, Brazil on Monday, October 5, 2026.
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