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Mercury may have shrunk much more than we thought, new study hints

New analysis says hidden crater debris may have masked 10% to 30% of Mercury’s contraction, suggesting a larger core and hotter past.

  • On Thursday, researchers published a study in Geophysical Research Letters suggesting Mercury has contracted 10% to 30% more than previous models indicated, with impact-crater debris obscuring evidence of this significant shrinkage.
  • Lead author Gaku Nishiyama, a planetary scientist at the German Aerospace Center, explained that geologically young impact debris masked the planet's shortening structures, which formed as Mercury cooled over roughly 4.5 billion years.
  • The new estimate equates to a total diameter loss of roughly 12 miles since formation, exceeding the 2013 conference finding of about 11 kilometers shrinkage.
  • Data from the European Space Agency's BepiColombo spacecraft, which recently began its arrival sequence, will capture higher-resolution imagery to measure topography and contraction with unprecedented precision.
  • "If their results hold, and I'm confident they will, then we'll have taken a step further in investigating planets we can't yet visit in person," said Paul Byrne, a planetary scientist at Washington University in St. Louis.
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Mercury shrinking more than scientists previously thought

Scientists say Mercury formed through a flurry of violent collisions between rocks and asteroids orbiting the Sun around 4.5 billion years ago.

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Durango Herald broke the news on Thursday, September 10, 2026.
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