Is a 7.5 Magnitude Earthquake Imminent in Istanbul? Expert Issues Warning Based on Earthquake Model and Fault Line.
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Geology expert Prof. Dr. Osman Bektaş addressed the frequently voiced claims in the public sphere that "a magnitude 7.5 earthquake is imminent in the Marmara region." Bektaş stated that the possibility of an M7+ earthquake is not a certainty but a scientific model hypothesis, warning, "Science should produce data, not fear."
Bektaş stated that there are uncertainties in scientific models regarding the probability of a major earthquake in the Marmara region, and that the possibilities of segmented rupture and deep creep of the fault should also be evaluated.
Professor Dr. Osman Bektaş made important assessments on his social media account regarding the frequently expressed public opinion about the "7.5 magnitude earthquake is imminent" in relation to the Marmara Earthquake. Professor Dr. Bektaş responded to claims that a major earthquake will occur in Istanbul in the near future, stating, "Science should produce data, not fear."
Prof. Dr. Osman Bektaş stated that the probability of an earthquake of magnitude 7 or higher in the Marmara region is not a definitive conclusion, but rather a model prediction. While drawing attention to the earthquake risk in Istanbul, Bektaş emphasized that scientific uncertainties should be evaluated with data.
Is a 7.5 Magnitude Earthquake Imminent in Istanbul? Osman Bektaş Lists the Overlooked Possibilities.
Prof. Dr. Osman Bektaş criticized the presentation of the expected 7.5 magnitude earthquake in Istanbul as if it were a certainty. Bektaş, with the message "Science should produce data, not fear," drew attention to the uncertainties in earthquake predictions.
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