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Bank of England Says Rates Could Rise as Iran War Fuels Inflation

The Monetary Policy Committee is expected to keep borrowing costs unchanged as inflation stays at 3.3% and war-related uncertainty clouds forecasts.

  • The Bank of England is expected to maintain interest rates at 3.75% on Thursday as policymakers assess the economic impact of the Iran war and Tehran's closure of the Strait of Hormuz.
  • Treasury chief Rachel Reeves said the Middle East crisis is "not our war, but it is pushing up bills for families and businesses," as UK inflation climbed to a three-month high of 3.3% in March.
  • The nine-member Monetary Policy Committee will publish quarterly economic projections today, with experts suggesting the panel may hint at future rate increases if the conflict pressures inflation further.
  • Upheaval from the Iran war pushed average two-year fixed mortgage rates to a peak of 5.90% before easing slightly to 5.81%, according to financial information service Moneyfacts.
  • Policymakers remain alert to any action from Britain's Labour government to mitigate inflation impacts, though analysts warn fixed-rate mortgage increases cannot be ruled out in the coming weeks.
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Bank of England keeps interest rate on hold at 3.75% as it weighs impact of Iran war on UK economy

The Bank of England is keeping its main interest rate on hold at 3.75% as policymakers assess the economic impact of the Iran war and Tehran’s effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz, through which a fifth of the world’s crude passes.

·United States
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BBC News broke the news in United Kingdom on Wednesday, April 29, 2026.
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