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IEA warns 2026 oil supply gap will widen on delayed return of normal Gulf flows

The agency said record fuel prices and tanker attacks are speeding inventory draws as world oil supply is now expected to fall 6% in 2026.

Summary by CNBC
The IEA downgraded its global oil demand forecast in its latest monthly report, predicting that an impasse in negotiations between the United States and Iran, continued disruptions to Gulf exports, and record fuel prices will increasingly dent demand.

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The International Energy Agency estimates that demand will be reduced by 2.5 million barrels per day by 2026. The organization worsens its calculations and estimates that the war has already brought 5.7 million barrels per day out of the market.

·Madrid, Spain
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The IEA adjusts the demand for oil by 2026, affected by tensions in the Middle East and high prices. Projected consumption is 102.44 mb/d. The conflict between Iran and the US in the Strait of Hormuz and the fall in Gulf exports impact global production, which would recover in 2027.

·Buenos Aires, Argentina
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The International Energy Agency (IEA) has further lowered its forecast for global oil demand for this year. The Paris-based agency cites the recent escalation of the war in the Middle East and rising fuel prices as the reason.

·Apeldoorn, Netherlands (Kingdom of the)
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Today, Friday, the International Energy Agency (IEA) said: the global oil supply as well as the demand for it will be lower than expected earlier this year, as the lack of progress towards ending the war in the Middle East delays the return of oil flows to normal levels for a year and drives fuel prices to rise.

·Syrian Arab Republic (the)
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VG broke the news in Oslo, Norway on Friday, September 11, 2026.
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