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Netanyahu's Party Odds Jump on Exit Polls
On Tuesday, October 27, 2026, exit polls indicated Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's Likud party leads Israel's parliamentary election, yet neither major political bloc secured the 61 seats required for a Knesset majority.
Voters participated at record 74.3% turnout, the highest since 1988, as the country remains nearly evenly split between Netanyahu's allies and the opposition bloc led by former army chief Gadi Eizenkot's new Yashar party.
Channel 12 projected a 52-50 seat split favoring the opposition, while Channel 13 predicted a 53-50 margin; both show Likud at 24 to 25 seats, ahead of Yashar's 21 to 22.
Prediction markets currently give Likud an 80% chance of winning the most seats, though Central Elections Committee officials cautioned that counting over 650,000 special ballots may extend until Friday.
Coalition talks will determine Israel's next government, as parties must now navigate the 61-seat threshold to control the Knesset following official results.