How inflated success rates pushed a Seattle diversion program nationwide
Washington Policy Center says LEAD backers inflated a 58% arrest claim, helping drive tens of millions in public funding nationwide.
- Washington Policy Center recently released analysis revealing that 11 years of claims by Law Enforcement Assisted Diversion backers regarding recidivism and arrest rates were based on inaccurate numbers repeated as evidence of program success.
- Eric Zimmerman, Director of Public Safety Solutions Policy, noted supporters roughly doubled or tripled study results by confusing a 58% odds change with absolute arrest reductions, with initial materials declaring reduced likelihood but later claiming absolute recidivism cuts.
- False data influenced Congress to appropriate tens of millions of dollars for Law Enforcement Assisted Diversion across cities nationwide, with Rep. DelBene incorrectly claiming 60 percent recidivism reduction during 2016 CARA act debates.
- LEAD co-creator Lisa Daugaard admitted in early August the 58% figure was inaccurately reported and committed to amending it, clarifying it represents reduced likelihood of arrest compared to a control group, not absolute reduction.
- In a Friday interview, Zimmerman stated dozens of cities, states, and Congress were misled by false numbers affecting federal and state policy, calling for Congress to suspend further LEAD funding pending additional scrutiny.
36 Articles
36 Articles
How inflated success rates pushed a Seattle diversion program nationwide - The Daily Bo Snerdley
(The Center Square) – False information led Congress and others to appropriate tens of millions of dollars in cities across the nation for the Law Enforcement Assisted Diversion model, data shows. As reported by The Center Square, Washington Policy Center recently produced analysis revealing that 11 years of claims by LEAD backers related to reduced recidivism and arrest rates were based on inaccurate numbers that were repeated over and over aga…
How inflated success rates pushed a Seattle diversion program nationwide
(The Center Square) - False information led Congress and others to appropriate tens of millions of dollars in cities across the nation for the Law Enforcement Assisted Diversion model, data shows.
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How inflated success rates fueled a Seattle diversion program into federal law
(The Center Square) - False information led Congress and others to appropriate tens of millions of dollars in cities across the nation for the Law Enforcement Assisted Diversion model, data shows.
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