96 percent chance Democrats take House, 78 percent for Senate: Harvard model
8 Articles
8 Articles
(Washington = Yonhap News) Correspondent Baek Na-ri = Harvard University in the United States projected the probability of the Democratic Party winning the House of Representatives and the Senate at 96% and 78%, respectively, in this midterm election.
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A Harvard forecast indicates a 96% probability that the Democrats will win the House of Representatives. The same Harvard forecast indicates a 78% probability that the Democrats will take over the Senate. What Trump will do in this case.
According to the base scenario, the probability of a Republican victory is "as likely as rolling a 20 on a twenty-sided die."
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