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Harris County early voting on pace to surpass 2022 turnout, but who’s showing up at the polls?
Early turnout is ahead of 2022 levels, with nearly 4.5 million ballots cast and Democratic primary voters narrowly outpacing Republicans, analysts said.
- As of Wednesday, October 28, 2026, Texas is on track to surpass 2022 midterm turnout, with nearly 4.5 million ballots cast since early voting began on October 19.
- Republican Attorney General Ken Paxton and Democratic state Representative James Talarico are competing for a U.S. Senate seat as Democrats seek their first statewide victory in Texas since 1994.
- Campaigns and PACs have amassed nearly $500 million in ad spending, making the Paxton-Talarico race the second-most expensive nonpresidential contest on record.
- Consultant Derek Ryan reported Democratic-leaning voters turned out at a higher rate during the first week, though Republicans are tracking a modeled 'firewall' of 474,470 ballots.
- With early voting closing this Friday, political experts warn against over-interpreting early trends; the outcome remains uncertain until polls close on Election Day, November 3.
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In Texas, 4.5 million have voted ahead, 50% more than in 2022, with greater Democratic mobilization.The participation is 23.4%.The southern state, key in the Senate contest, sees Talarico surpass Paxton in polls. Trump visits to reinforce Republican support.
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Coverage Details
Total News Sources23
Leaning Left8Leaning Right2Center7Last UpdatedBias Distribution47% Left
Bias Distribution
- 47% of the sources lean Left
47% Left
L 47%
C 41%
12%
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