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GDP Report Set to Provide Snapshot of Economy Ahead of Midterm Elections

The report is expected to show 3.1% third-quarter growth as the Federal Reserve weighs another rate hike and inflation stays above target.

  • Fresh data released yesterday provided a snapshot of the United States economy, with the report detailing GDP over the third quarter as the nation weathers a monthlong surge of inflation.
  • An acceleration of price increases this year has posed a challenge for Fed officials, a trend Since Warsh took the helm of the Fed he has repeatedly vowed to dial back.
  • The United States economy expanded at an annualized pace of 3.1% in the third quarter, while the core PCE index gained 0.3% for the month and 3.1% for the year, in line with consensus.
  • On Wednesday, the Fed opted to leave rates unchanged at 3.75%-4%, while chances of a rate hike stood at 79.6% on Thursday, down from 84.2% on Wednesday.
  • While uncertainty remains elevated owing to geopolitical developments in Iran, the Committee noted that "inflation remains elevated" and will determine the policy stance appropriate to ensure a timely return to the 2% goal.
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By Alicia Wallace and Elisabeth Buchwald, CNN US economic growth accelerated last quarter at its fastest pace in a year. However, the increase in gasoline prices contributed to inflation reaching its highest level in September in four months, according to new data published on Thursday. The price index of personal consumption expenditure (PCE) increased by 0.5% compared to August, raising the annual inflation rate from 3.4 to 3.6 percent, accord…

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npr broke the news in Washington, United States on Thursday, October 29, 2026.
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