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French centrists' feuding increases odds of Le Pen-Melenchon runoff

A new poll shows centrist candidates splitting support, with Philippe at 16% and Attal at 12%, as Le Pen and Mélenchon strengthen their runoff prospects.

  • Infighting among French centrist candidates is splitting the mainstream vote, raising the risk of a presidential runoff between Marine Le Pen and Jean-Luc Melenchon.
  • Tensions between former prime ministers Edouard Philippe and Gabriel Attal have intensified as they battle for the centrist ticket, with Philippe falling to 15% support in an IFOP-Fiducial poll for Figaro.
  • Political analysts blame the collapse on voter weariness with President Emmanuel Macron and a lacklustre campaign strategy. Philippe Moreau-Chevrolet, a political communications specialist at Sciences Po, said, "There's panic on board because there was no scenario planned for this."
  • Former lawmaker Jean-Baptiste Moreau described the situation as "catastrophic," warning that candidates attacking one another in the media fuels fragmentation as both collapse in the polls.
  • With Glucksmann and Retailleau both targeting the moderate electorate, Perrine Goulet, a lawmaker from Macron ally MoDem, urged moderates to unite, warning, "The danger is simply too great" of an LFI-RN second round.
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Lean Left

The division among centrist candidates in France is increasing the likelihood that the 2027 presidential election will end in a runoff between far-right Marine Le Pen and radical left leader Jean-Luc Mélenchon. According to the latest polls, Le Pen would almost certainly reach the second round, while Mélenchon is gradually overtaking the main centrist contenders. Edouard Philippe, Emmanuel Macron’s former prime minister and so far the leading ca…

Lean Left

CONFLICTS among French centrists are dispersing moderate votes and opening the way for Marine Le Pen and Jean-Luc Mélenchon to the second round of elections.

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Lean Left

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lejdd.fr broke the news on Sunday, October 25, 2026.
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