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FOMC Preview: Fed Set To Hike 25bp In Recalibration Move

Sticky PCE inflation near 3.7% is pushing policymakers toward another rate increase, as better CPI readings have not changed the outlook.

  • Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh and the FOMC likely made up their minds on interest rates for the September 16 meeting, facing intense pressure to raise rates after consumer prices marched higher last month.
  • The Fed's preferred Personal Consumption Expenditures price index remains sticky at 3.7%, running well above the 2% target, while the CPI retraced to 3.4% in July.
  • Addressing the policy path at Jackson Hole, Warsh emphasized the 2% price-stability objective is a "firm, fixed target" and policymakers must be confident underlying inflation is moving at sufficient speed.
  • President Donald Trump, who appointed Warsh, has threatened to cut trade with certain countries if the Fed fails to lower rates, adding political pressure to the upcoming decision.
  • Analysts anticipate the Federal Reserve may need to reverse rate cuts made last year, with some expecting at least one or two adjustments as consumer demand remains resilient.
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The Motley Fool broke the news in Alexandria, United States on Friday, September 11, 2026.
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