NASA Warns a Monster El Niño Could Surpass the Historic 1997 Event
NOAA forecasters say there is an 83% chance the event tops every El Niño since 1950 as winter strengthening could push it past the record.
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4 Articles
NASA Warns a Monster El Niño Could Surpass the Historic 1997 Event
An El Niño that could beat 1997’s record is taking shape in the Pacific, leaving scientists watching for its next move. El Niño is part of a natural climate pattern that returns roughly every two to seven years. Its most recent very strong events, in 1997–98 and 2015–16, disrupted weather worldwide. Consequences included fires in [...]
The temperature of the waters in the Pacific Ocean has already exceeded a historic 30 °C and the phenomenon is still gaining strength, according to hundreds of climate simulations. The peak is expected to come in December, but the most severe impact on the global climate will not be felt until 2027. Experts are talking about the strongest phenomenon in the last millennium, bringing with it fires, devastating floods and super typhoons.
What to expect this winter according to NOAAMore...
El Niño reaches 2.0°C on NOAA’s index, a tenth of a degree behind 1997–98 at the same point, as forecasters expect it to challenge the all-time record this winter
El Niño reached +2.0°C on NOAA's Relative Oceanic Niño Index for August–October 2026, a tenth of a degree behind 1997 at the same point. NOAA gives an 83% chance it surpasses every event since 1950 by the end of the year. Source
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