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El Niño Must Reach Peak Between November and December with Unprecedented Strength in 150 Years

Summary by Radio Guaíba
Climate models are in agreement that the peak intensity of the episode of El Niño from 2026-2027 will occur at the end of this year. Almost all projections place the maximum between November and December, with gradual weakening from the beginning of 2027, according to MetSul Meteorology. The peak intensity at the end of this year... Read more » The post El Niño must reach peak between November and December with unprecedented strength in 150 year…
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Progress and projections of the joint scientific studies on the climate phenomenon were presented.

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Peru could face the biggest El Niño event recorded in modern times. The latest NOAA report, published on October 8, estimates a probability of 83% that the phenomenon will reach an unprecedented intensity since 1950 during the last quarter of this 2026. Sea temperature anomalies reach 3.9 °C in front of northern Peru. We are not facing an ordinary climate warning. The question is whether the State is prepared to face its consequences.

El Niño is gaining intensity and can change the pattern of heat and rain in Brazil until the end of 2026, with risk of temporal in the South, stretching in parts of the North and Northeast and temperatures above average in various regions. Projections released in October by INPE, INMET and partner institutions...

·São Paulo, Brazil
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Projections indicate gradual weakening from the beginning of 2027; higher intensity does not guarantee proportional impacts on the RS

Projections of the climate models indicate that the peak intensity of the current El Niño event occurs between November and December. The rise in temperatures in the equatorial range of the Pacific Ocean reaches high levels in the Niño region 3.4.The warming of ocean waters changes the atmospheric circulation patterns and the trajectory of winds at altitude.The phenomenon modifies the distribution of humidity and the precipitation regime in the …

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A TARDE broke the news on Monday, October 12, 2026.
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