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El Niño 2026: How Big Could It Get?

Models from Columbia forecast a 3.38°C tropical Pacific temperature peak and nearly 100% odds the event lasts into spring 2027.

Summary by columbia.edu
The current El Niño will break all sea-surface temperature records to date and will very likely deliver unprecedented weather-related impacts around the world.

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The event is projected to take place in November-December, while its effects may continue until spring 2027.

·Kyiv, Ukraine
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On 29 September 2026, the ocean temperature in the El Niño 3.4 region reached 29.85°C, a historic record that surpasses the previous summit in 2015. Beyond the climate signal, this threshold triggers a cascade...

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columbia.edu broke the news in New York, United States on Thursday, October 1, 2026.
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