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Winter Heating Costs Split as EIA Forecasts a 21% Rise for Oil Users - FINCHANNEL

Heating oil households, mostly in the Northeast, are projected to spend 21% more as tight distillate inventories keep prices elevated.

  • On Tuesday, the Energy Information Administration released its winter fuels outlook, projecting that households using natural gas or propane will spend less on energy this winter while those relying on heating oil face significant cost increases.
  • Global supply disruptions linked to conflicts in Iran and Ukraine have severely tightened distillate markets, which supply both diesel and heating oil, driving the 21% spending increase for oil-heated homes.
  • The EIA estimates average November-through-March expenditure for heating oil users at $2,115, while homes using natural gas or propane—about half of U.S. households—expect lower energy bills primarily due to reduced fuel costs.
  • Concentrated in the Northeast, heating oil users account for about 3% of U.S. households and face the largest price hikes, as higher fuel prices outweigh savings from a projected milder winter.
  • EIA Administrator Tristan Abbey noted that relatively high natural gas inventories provide a cushion for heating demand, though the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration identified a strong El Niño pattern that could cause significant temperature variations.
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Natural gas reserves start from levels higher than the average of the last five years.

·Buenos Aires, Argentina
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Reuters broke the news in London, United Kingdom on Tuesday, October 6, 2026.
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