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More than 13 Million Americans Have Already Voted. Here's What the Early Data Reveals
Democrats and unaffiliated voters are outpacing Republicans in early turnout, while Black and Latino participation is running well above prior midterm levels, analysts said.
- More than 13 million Americans have cast early ballots in the midterm elections, according to the University of Florida Election Lab, with Democrats leading in key states as the fight for control of Congress enters its final two-week stretch.
- University of Florida political science professor Michael McDonald expects a high-turnout election driven by strong participation from Democrats and unaffiliated voters, though Republican engagement remains mixed. Democrats need a net gain of four seats to control the Senate.
- Black and Latino voters show significantly higher early participation, with McDonald tracking numbers "more than three or four times the level of early voting for Latinos" in North Carolina and Georgia compared to previous cycles.
- Registered Democrats are voting at substantially higher levels than Republicans in Kansas, Nebraska, and North Carolina, where McDonald remarked, "Boy, things look really bad for the Republicans in North Carolina," ahead of the competitive Senate race.
- Despite current early voting leads, McDonald cautioned that Republicans could make up ground closer to Election Day, as historical data shows that voting day typically favors the Republican party.
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More than 13 million Americans have already voted. Here's what the early data reveals
With two weeks until Election Day, early voting data reveals surprising differences in participation across political parties, states and demographic groups. A University of Florida researcher says Republican early voting is trailing previous midterms in North Carolina, while Black and Latino voters are showing significant increases in participation.
·Manchester, United States
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