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How the 2026 Midterms Could Determine Control of Congress
Democrats need four Senate pickups to win control as Republicans defend 53 seats and several once-safe states turn into toss-ups.
With the 2026 midterm elections less than four weeks away, Democrats must secure four Republican-held Senate seats to flip control of Congress, as Republicans currently maintain majorities with 218 House seats and 53 in the Senate.
President Donald Trump rallied in Texas Wednesday to energize supporters, as Experts identify the economy and the Iran war as critical issues driving surprising shifts in voter sentiment regarding Trump's performance.
Tight races in states like Texas, Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and North Carolina are now seen as toss-ups; once considered Republican strongholds, these contests could play a decisive role in determining which party holds power.
"You can be pretty sure that most of the things proposed by Trump will not get through Congress," Politics Larry Sabato said, emphasizing the margin of control remains crucial for blocking legislative priorities.
Historically, the president's party tends to lose House seats in midterm elections; while the Senate has shown a different pattern, flipping control only three times since 1990, Experts predict this year may deviate from past trends.