Datasheet: Flavio Has the Advantage in More Likely to Vote - 24/10/2026
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On the eve of the second round, Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) takes advantage among voters with a higher probability of attending the polls, according to Datafolha. In this group, which represents 76% of the electorate, the senator has 52% of the valid votes, against 48% of Lula. Among the remaining 24%, considered less likely to vote, the scenario is reversed: Lula...
Senator records 52% of voting intentions against 48% of the president in the group representing 76% of the electorate; institute uses unprecedented statistical model to estimate attendance at polls
Model that considers distance from the voting place and attendance in the first round shows inverse scenario among those who are less likely to go to the polls
Among the most likely voters to vote for President this Sunday (25), 52% chose Senator Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) and 48%, the incumbent in the dispute, Lula (PT), according to Datafolha. The numbers refer to valid votes, which exclude white, null and void and are the pattern of disclosure of the outcome of the suit. Read more (10/24/2026)
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