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AI’s Biggest Climate Problem May Not Be Data Centers

Researchers say AI-driven gains in oil and gas could add 0.47 to 1.8 gigatonnes of carbon dioxide a year.

  • A new study published last week in Climate Action reports that AI-driven productivity gains could increase global emissions by 0.47 to 1.8 gigatonnes annually if adoption outpaces renewable energy applications.
  • Former Microsoft sustainability workers Holly Alpine and Will Alpine co-founded the Enabled Emissions Campaign to highlight how AI tools make fossil fuel production more profitable and economically viable, extending the industry's dominance.
  • These enabled emissions could represent 1.2% to 4.8% of global energy-related emissions recorded in 2024, while Rystad Energy estimated digitalization will create nearly $500 billion in cumulative value for fossil fuel companies by 2030.
  • Microsoft is partnering with Chevron on a Texas gas plant to power data centers, a deal Chevron president Jeff Gustavson noted would also support the oil giant's internal AI capacities.
  • Public Citizen senior policy counsel Clara Vondrich criticized these partnerships, stating "Big Tech is Big Oil's number one accomplice" by selling proprietary tools to accelerate fossil fuel extraction.
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21st Century Tech Blog broke the news on Saturday, August 8, 2026.
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