US EditionClassified US intel report warns large-scale war ‘unlikely’ to oust Iran’s regime: Washington Post
A National Intelligence Council report found Iran’s regime has strong succession protocols and is likely to endure U.S.-Israeli military strikes, with fragmented opposition unlikely to seize power.
- Completed about a week before Feb. 28, a classified National Intelligence Council assessment found a large-scale U.S. military assault would be unlikely to remove the clerical and military leadership of Iran.
- The National Intelligence Council found that Iran's succession mechanisms and internal procedures for continuity are designed to preserve authority, with the Assembly of Experts overseeing the replacement of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei.
- Analysts noted the assessment draws on work from 18 U.S. intelligence agencies, and Suzanne Maloney, Iran scholar and vice president at the Brookings Institution, described the NIC assessment as credible.
- The findings cast doubt on President Donald Trump's plan to 'clean out' Iran's leadership, and the White House did not confirm if he reviewed the assessment before approving the military campaign.
- With succession unfolding under bombardment, analysts note no new supreme leader has been announced and Iran's fragmented opposition seizing power is unlikely.
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57 Articles
It is unlikely that a US attack, even a major one, would topple the Iranian regime, a secret intelligence report concluded before the US launched its attacks on the country. Several intelligence agencies make similar assessments.
(Seoul = Yonhap News) Reporter Go Il-hwan = The U.S. intelligence agency said that even if large-scale military operations against Iran continue, there is a risk that the current regime will collapse and anti-government forces will seize power...
A classified report by the National Intelligence Council concluded that a regime change in Iran is "highly unlikely" in the short term. More information: Iran suspends its bombings, but Trump threatens: "Today they will receive a blow, we are valuing their total destruction."
US attacks are unlikely to bring down the Iranian regime, according to a secret US intelligence report. “The Iranian regime is crushed
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