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PM Carney prepared for ‘risk’ that Trump might order U.S.-led military invasion of Canada: report

Carney said the review was needed because a U.S. attack would be an extreme tail risk, and military planners modeled unconventional defenses.

  • Prime Minister Mark Carney revealed in a New York Times interview published Wednesday that he has examined the "extreme tail risk" of potential U.S. military action against Canada, characterizing contingency planning as a necessary responsibility.
  • President Donald Trump's repeated rhetoric calling Canada the "51st state" and threats to use "economic force" prompted Canadian officials to initiate the unprecedented strategic risk assessment of potential intervention.
  • Canadian Armed Forces planners, lacking sufficient conventional forces to repel a direct American assault, modeled unconventional defensive tactics including sabotage, ambush, and drone warfare, according to government officials.
  • Despite these preparations, Carney insisted he and Trump can "compartmentalize" their relationship, continuing to cooperate on global issues like the war in Ukraine even as tensions persist.
  • This modelling marks the first time in one century that the military has prepared for an American invasion, demonstrating the gravity with which officials are treating bilateral relations.
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Lean Left

Canada is considering a theoretical scenario of a possible invasion of the United States, which could begin with cyberattacks and an attempt to establish control over Canadian energy. However, the likelihood of such a conflict is assessed as very low by experts interviewed by the BBC. The two countries are NATO allies, exchange intelligence and participate jointly in the defense of North America through the NORAD command. Lieutenant General of t…

Lean Left

Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney admitted last week that he is preparing for a once unthinkable scenario - an invasion by the US. Noting that the risk was low and the likelihood highly unlikely, he told the New York Times that he had a responsibility to consider all possibilities as the US-Canada relationship is redefined under the presidency of Donald Trump. "This is simply risk management," Carney said, according to the Telegraph. Trump's g…

Lean Left

Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney admitted last week that he took into account a scenario of unconceived under other conditions - an American invasion of Canada. Even if it is a low risk and a...

Far Left

Mark Carney admitted that his government evaluates defensive contingency plans against Washington's annexationist threats.

·Caracas, Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic of)
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Le Journal de Montreal broke the news in Montreal, Canada on Wednesday, September 23, 2026.
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