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Bank of Japan's hawkish pause to leave scope for December hike

The central bank is expected to keep rates unchanged while signaling that a December increase remains possible, Reuters reported.

  • On Friday, the Bank of Japan will hold its policy rate at 1.25% while signaling a potential December rate hike as officials assess whether inflation has durably reached their 2% target.
  • After years of aggressive monetary easing under former Governor Haruhiko Kuroda, the BOJ has gradually normalized rates, executing a September hike to combat inflationary pressures from high energy costs and a weak yen.
  • Governor Kazuo Ueda will assess whether August's 1.7% core inflation and wage momentum justify moving rates toward the neutral range of 1.1% to 2.5%, which anchors the 2% target.
  • Analysts polled by Reuters expect the central bank to raise rates to 1.5% in December, though officials are avoiding explicit timing guidance to prevent disrupting markets amid volatile carry-trade positions.
  • The board will scrutinize upcoming data on wage growth, services inflation, and consumption before deciding whether to hike in December or January, balancing inflation risks against economic stability.
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(Tokyo/Seoul = Yonhap News) Correspondent Cho Seong-mi, Reporter Kim Byung-kyu = Nihon... reports that the Bank of Japan is expected to keep its policy interest rate frozen at 1.25% at its monetary policy meeting at the end of this month.

·Seoul, Korea (the Republic of)
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BizToc broke the news on Thursday, October 22, 2026.
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